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Visiting Scholars Seminar: New Research on Europe

Economic Downturns and Political Competition since the 1870s


November 9, 2016
12:15pm - 1:45pm
Hoffmann Room, Busch Hall
November 9, 2016
12:15pm - 1:45pm
Hoffmann Room, Busch Hall

Relying on new data on the ideology of heads of government in 32 democracies over a period of more than 140 years, this paper shows that short economic downturns, with a single year of falling per-capita consumption or economic output, have more often resulted in shifts to the right than shifts to the left. But long-lasting economic downturns, with more than one consecutive year of falling consumption or output, are different, since they often affect a much greater proportion of the population: compared with short downturns which favor the right, long downturns have more uniform political effects.




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