Foreseeing in the dark: Depicting the future of the economy in the face of crises
Olivier Pilmis is a tenured researcher in sociology at the French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS) and a member of the Center for the Sociology of Organizations. His research is centered on the study of macroeconomic forecasting. It aims to address the conditions needed for a legitimate discourse about the future and the emergence of rational beliefs.
During his time at the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies (CES), Pilmis will continue research on economic forecasting with a specific focus on the obstacles to forecasting in times of crises by comparing the Covid-19 pandemic with the Great Depression in the United States. Pilmis’s research is funded by a Visiting Scholar Grant from the Franco-American Commission for Educational Exchange Fulbright Program.
Pilmis received his Ph.D. in sociology from the School for Advanced Studies in the Social Sciences (EHESS) in 2008.
This information is accurate for the time period that the
visiting scholar is affiliated with CES.
Foreseeing in the dark: Depicting the future of the economy in the face of crises
Sociology
Economic Sociology
Sociology of Expertise
Science and Technology Studies
Future Studies
Pilmis, Olivier. “The Dynamics of Expectations. The Inscription of Expectations in Their Past Trajectories.” Futures past. economic forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century, 2020, 163–89. https://doi.org/10.3726/b16817
Pilmis, Olivier. “Une science de la prévision économique?” Regards croisés sur l'économie 29, no. 2 (2022): 211–19. https://doi.org/10.3917/rce.029.0211
Pilmis, Olivier “Escaping the Reality Test: How Macroeconomic Forecasters Deal With 'Errors'.” Uncertain Futures. Imaginaries, Narratives, and Calculation in the Economy, 2018, 124-143. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198820802.003.000
