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Residency Dates: September 1, 2022 - May 31, 2023


Olivier Pilmis

Olivier Pilmis is a tenured researcher in sociology at the French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS) and a member of the Center for the Sociology of Organizations. His research is centered on the study of macroeconomic forecasting. It aims to address the conditions needed for a legitimate discourse about the future and the emergence of rational beliefs.

During his time at the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies (CES), Pilmis will continue research on economic forecasting with a specific focus on the obstacles to forecasting in times of crises by comparing the Covid-19 pandemic with the Great Depression in the United States. Pilmis’s research is funded by a Visiting Scholar Grant from the Franco-American Commission for Educational Exchange Fulbright Program.

Pilmis received his Ph.D. in sociology from the School for Advanced Studies in the Social Sciences (EHESS) in 2008.

This information is accurate for the time period that the visiting scholar is affiliated with CES.


  • Researcher in Sociology, French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS)
  • Visiting Scholar 2022-2023, Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies, Harvard University

Research Project

Foreseeing in the dark: Depicting the future of the economy in the face of crises



Areas of Expertise

Economic Sociology
Sociology of Expertise
Science and Technology Studies
Future Studies

Select Publications

Pilmis, Olivier. “The Dynamics of Expectations. The Inscription of Expectations in Their Past Trajectories.” Futures past. economic forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century, 2020, 163–89.

Pilmis, Olivier. “Une science de la prévision économique?” Regards croisés sur l'économie 29, no. 2 (2022): 211–19.

Pilmis, Olivier “Escaping the Reality Test: How Macroeconomic Forecasters Deal With 'Errors'.” Uncertain Futures. Imaginaries, Narratives, and Calculation in the Economy, 2018, 124-143.