Associate Senior Lecturer on Social Studies & Assistant Director of Curricular Development, Center for Hellenic Studies, Harvard University; Faculty Associate & Seminar Co-chair, Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies, Harvard University
April 10, 2020
2:30pm - 3:30pm
Hoffmann Room, Adolphus Busch Hall
Since the end of the 1990s, far right (FR) parties have enjoyed
significant electoral gains across the European continent. In
combination with the electoral shrinkage of mainstream parties in
various ideological nuances, increasing FR support generates fears and
challenges for the democratic legitimacy and stability Europe has
enjoyed in the post-war era.
Popular explanations of the phenomenon
distinguish between demand and supply-side factors, and focus on one of
the two sides, rarely linking them together. In all cases, attempts to
explain the success of FR parties restrict the interpretation within
national boundaries. In this talk, the speaker will offer an alternative approach to
cross-national comparisons of the FR. She will discuss patterns of
transmission over space and time, concentrating on political
externalities that affect its rise.
Building on the bonds of FR parties
across Europe and their quasi-simultaneous electoral rise, the talk will explore
pathways of diffusion of FR electoral habits and party strategies
between different European countries, taking into account their
geographical, cultural and temporal proximity. It will use spatial
econometrics and a new regional database of national and European
parliament elections, from 2000 to 2017 to find evidence of spillovers
of both FR vote and party manifesto positions, indicating transmission
on both, the demand and the supply side. Impulse responses suggest that
the transmission peaks 4-5 years after an unanticipated shock in foreign
FR vote shares or policy positions.